The Jig Is Up!

We have to understand the realities in the Middle East, if we are to understand how things will evolve in the next little while. On one side we have Iran and its proxies, Syria, Iran, and, yes, the Houthis. On the other side we have the established states like Egypt, Jordan, and the oil states like Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf statelets. (Qatar is a special case.)The established states are haunted by sentiment in the street. They see that their very stability is at risk as a consequence of the Iran’s appeal to the Arab masses. They fear the power of the Moslem Brotherhood to arouse the masses. (The Egyptian Army orchestrated a coup to evict them when they were the democratically elected government.) Hamas is their creature on the ground in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, in Gaza and in the West Bank of Israel.

Israel’s policy error in tolerating Hamas for so long has cost Israel dearly. Israel saw Hamas as a means of weakening. The Palestinian Authority which they saw as their primary threat. Having seen how successful Iran has been has led them to a radical change in view. In eliminating Hamas in Gaza and in the West Bank, they are removing them as a threat to the established Arab states. We can see that most recently in the radical changes occurring in Egyptian policy.

Moving from Egyptian threats against Israel if they move into Rafah, Hamas’ last stronghold, they are actually building facilities on the other side of their border to deal with the expected mass border crossings of Palestinian civilians across their border. Egypt is signaling that they believe that Israel will actually eliminate Hamas, in spite of U.S wobbling. Further, they have signaled to the U.S that they see no role for the P.A. in Gaza. Israel’s resolute actions are a gift to the Arab nations in the region who fear the power of the Moslem Brotherhood, ideologically akin to the Mullahs in Teheran.

Even the U.S has roused itself from its torpor after the deaths of U.S. soldiers. Fear of a war before American elections has immobilized Biden. They have taken only limited action in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.

In spite of the shadow boxing in the north, Israel has refrained from opening a new front there. What will happen when Rafah is pacified is anybody’s guess. Hezbollah, which is totally in charge there, has resisted Teheran’s urging, fearing the devastating results of a full war with Israel in Lebanon. It is already an economic basket case.

With the total refusal by Israel of a two-state solution to the current impasse, it remains to be seen what the day after will look like. Once the power of Hamas is eradicated, we will begin to hear some Palestinian voices. Once Israel moves toward completion, once the Arab states have less fear of what Hamas represents, once we are in a post-election period, more viable solutions will present themselves.

Meanwhile Hamas mouthpieces continue to feed lies to the public over the major news outlets. It is clear they have been firmly implanted using oil fund over the decades. The claims of injury to civilians is the story Hamas wants the public to accept. That has been their purpose for Hamas since day one. If the U.S. government vetoed a ceasefire can’t we imagine they know something we don’t know. This is the final act of eradication, blocking the Egyptian source of the supplies that enabled Hamas to build the massive military machine that we have uncovered.

One thing is now evident. The jig is up for Hamas in Gaza. The jig is up for Hamas in Judea and Samaria. The world-wide campaign against Israel, Jewry, and western values is just beginning, broadcast from every mosque in the world.